Monday, August 9, 2010

Chicago Tribune expose explodes myths about Prairie State coal plant

It isn’t “clean” coal, it won’t “sequester” carbon emissions, it won’t be built for $2.4 Billion and the power it produces won’t cost $35 MW - all as originally claimed. It will cost over $4.4 Billion to build which is twice as much as they claimed, and the estimate for the cost of power from Prairie State is $64.40 per MW and still rising! As of June 2010 Peabody admitted the plant is only 48% finished. See Prairie State’s own press release: Prairie State Coal Plant coming right along ...it’s just not “coming right along” very well.

More breaking news for the Prairie State true believers: There is no Tooth Fairy.

The details of the July 12, 2010, Chicago Tribune story, Clean coal dream a costly nightmare, by Tribune reporter Michael Hawthorne, had to be wrenched out with a Freedom of Information pry bar. The resulting disclosures punctured the heretofore unquestioned puffery that has been spewing out of the Prairie State public relations department since this project was first proposed in 2001. Hawthorne’s story set off a frenzy of coal-partisan counter stories and local fall-out stories in newspapers all over the Midwest from shocked Prairie State town governments that had invested in the plant. Some stories quoted embarrassed deeply-in-denial city administrators who were caught with their pants down exposing the “I ♥ Prairie State” tattoos on their gullible butts.

The Tribune missed the bigger story
The Tribune story however, focused on the financial damage the uncontrolled Prairie State costs will have on the municipalities in and around the Chicago area, i.e. Naperville, Batavia, Geneva, St. Charles and Winnetka, that were suckered into signing contracts either to invest in the plant as owners entitled to a share of the output or that contracted for the power and actually believed the PR spin that the lowballed quotes on cost of construction and cost of power was real and that every multi-million dollar cost overrun would be the last.

In order to find the financing for this environmental black elephant, Peabody had to use not just the five Illinois municipalities in the Tribune story but municipalities and municipal associations in several states in the Midwest to raise the billions necessary to finance the over-ballyhooed “clean-coal” plant. As the billions in cost overruns secretly accumulated more towns and municipal associations from Virginia, Indiana, Illinois, Ohio, Missouri, Michigan and Kentucky had to be sucked in as investors to cover runaway costs.

The mind boggles at the large numbers of impaired elected officials who bought into this scam without a blink and with no due diligence. Having voted for a Prairie State contract ought to be grounds for automatic impeachment.

Project investor/owners now include: American Municipal Power, Illinois Municipal Electric Agency, Indiana Municipal Power Agency, Kentucky Municipal Power Agency, Northern Illinois Municipal Power Agency, Peabody Energy, Prairie Power Inc. Southern Illinois Power Cooperative and Missouri Public Utility Alliance, a.k.a. MJMEUC or MoPEP.

Peabody now owns only 5% of Prairie State having sold off 95% of the liability to the above named schmucks.

By Friday, July 23, Prairie State executives were no longer answering questions or taking phone calls. Rumors could not be confirmed that the PS executives and their PR department had bunkered-up in their much publicized coal mine next to the unfinished Prairie State plant that is "coming right along" at a 50% cost overrun with only 48% completion.

The peasants are revolting...
The crap storm created by the original Tribune story had reached such velocity that to quiet the gasps of shock and outrage from city officials, who were finally beginning to suspect they had sold their towns a bill of goods by encouraging them to make direct equity investments in the mythical $35MW Prairie State pricing, panicked Prairie State officials began throwing bread over the walls to the angry peasants by promising price caps on their over-sold, under-priced product.

In a July 23, 2010 follow-up to the Tribune story, also by Hawthorne on Chicago Breaking News, Coal plant developer feels pressure, caps costs, Peter DeQuattro, chief executive officer of the Prairie State Generating Co., said, “This agreement will provide greater price stability and economic predictability, which will benefit Prairie State owners and the customers they serve. The company did not respond to questions.” That devious line about “price stability and economic predictability” in the far distant future is an over-used sales line that Prairie State officials and their minions have long fed the unsuspecting communities they’ve roped into this specious long-term investment. Prices can be 10 times a higher than that of the commercial competition and technically still be “stable and predictable!”

The Tribune story explained that only the “construction budget” will be capped. “Without providing details of the new agreement, the management company in charge of overseeing the plant said it had brokered a new deal capping the construction budget at "approximately $4 billion. That amount does not include the project's total costs, including nearby coal reserves, mine development and transmission lines. Because we don't know the details it's possible that a huge amount of the costs of the project could be shifted over to the “nearby coal reserves, mine development and transmission lines.” And who pays for the "nearby coal reserves, mine development and transmission lines?" You’ll notice that they said nothing about capping operating costs or that they wouldn't shift a variety of costs to the post construction operating charges. After all who's to know?

But Ma! They said it was "Clean" Coal!
In a similar and naturally uncritical story off the PR Newswire, Jul. 23, 2010, Prairie State and Bechtel Announce New, Fixed-Cost EPC Agreement Providing Greater Economic Stability, obligingly repeated by iStockAnalyist on the deal to cap costs of construction between Bechtel Power Corporation and Prairie State Generating Company, LLC, Prairie State President and CEO Peter DeQuattro said, “The agreement supports our mission of delivering low-cost, reliable and environmentally responsible electricity.” DeQuattro added, "This remains a good investment for our owners and the customers they serve. Equally important, the project will invest approximately $1 billion in 21st century technologies, making it among the cleanest power plants of its kind anywhere in the nation.” DeQuattro pointed out that Prairie State’s “carbon dioxide emissions will be approximately 15 percent lower than the typical U.S. coal plant.”

DeQuattro's statement is breathtaking in it's duplicity. US coal plants produce 52% of the enormous amount of electricity used in the US. Of that 52% coal plants belch out carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases that are suspected to cause climatic warming and they are also a source of sulfur oxides, nitrogen oxides, fly ash and mercury which are harmful to human health and may be largely responsible for acid rain.

Alex Gabbard, author of Coal Combustion: Nuclear Resource or Danger? and other scientists and engineers believe that although not as well known, fly ash and other releases from coal combustion contain naturally occurring radioactive materials--mainly, uranium and thorium and they believe that “those living near coal-fired power plants are exposed to higher radiation doses than those living near nuclear power plants that meet government regulations.”

For DeQuattro or any other advocate of “King Coal” to blandly say that this plant is among the “cleanest power plants of its kind anywhere in the nation” is a feeble accolade. When he says “Prairie State’s carbon emissions will be 15% lower than the “typical U.S. coal plant” it’s like saying sewage effluvia filtered though panty hose is 15% more drinkable than unfiltered sewage. It may have fewer lumps but it’s just as noxious and still deadly.

Why they're getting "hosed this bad”
The best quote of all in the stories was this one from Bruce Nilles, director of the Sierra Club’s national coal campaign: “We predicted four years ago that this was going to be a bad deal for ratepayers. But we never envisioned they would get hosed this bad even before Prairie State generates a watt."

In the same PR Newswire, Jul. 23, 2010 press release disguised as a real news story, DeQuattro also declared that, “construction costs of all types of power plants – whether coal, nuclear, natural gas or wind – have significantly increased since work began on the new plant. Rising commodity prices, along with labor costs and other factors, have increased the cost of new power plants by 130 percent between 2000 and 2008, according to IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates.” That’s the first halfway correct statement we've read from him.

China is breaking ground for a new coal plant EVERY WEEK! India is ramping up to that volume and other power-starved countries in the Pacific Rim also with explosive economic growth are not far behind. For at least a decade it has been widely known that these countries, particularly China, are major importers of our raw construction materials and even import Western construction companies and engineers. In 2003 coal-fired power plants were estimated at over $2 billion and hundreds were being planned. By 2008 costs had doubled, accelerating risk made insurance impossible to obtain, smart banking money was backing off and plants in half a dozen states were being canceled. Only one dramatic event was needed to put a stake through the heart of the fossil-fuel power industry.

The stake came in the form of the June 11, 2007, U.S. Supreme Court landmark decision on the 1977 Clean Air Act in the Justice Department case against American Electric Power (AEP). The $4 Billion fine on October 2007 forcing the polluter to install anti-pollution equipment on all its plants and pay other damages downwind sealed the deal against King Coal. Wall Street bankers withdrew their financial support from power plants with such huge environmental liability and uncontrollable costs. Plants were canceled in a half dozen states as regulatory commissions woke up to the high construction costs and environmental risks. Now most coal-fired plants under construction have a $4 billion price tag and counting.

Construction costs don’t increase that much faster in a single sector than over the general economy in such a short a time unless there are targeted and uncontrollable economic factors such as China and India buying up wood, concrete, steel, mechanics and other components necessary for their mega power plants, giant dams and other construction projects. Even coal is being shipped from our Powder River to China by….oh yes… our good friends at Peabody Coal, the originators of the Prairie State power plant!

Can you break a contract on grounds of stupidity?
Now the only way “King Coal” can survive financially is to victimize small municipalities like Martinsville Virginia, Naperville Illinois and the MoPEP cities of Missouri by conning them into “investing” or bankrolling these behemoth high-risk plants with false reports on costs and soothing lies about “stabilizing” their soaring energy costs in the far distant future.

We predict that when the revealed bills for their foolishness exceeds their red faces, city officials, who pushed these investments in coal-fired power plants to their elected officials who don't like to read "all that legal stuff," will be planning lawsuits to get out of, what they were telling their citizens just recently, was the smart play of securing future pie-in-the-sky megawatts against future rising prices.

What will be their grounds to get out of a contract they willingly, even enthusiastically signed? In the first place these were equity investments i.e. stock purchases, just as if the city was investing in the stock market or buying into Joe’s Bar and Grill. Municipalities, school boards and other public entities aren’t allowed to invest public tax money in private businesses and stocks because if they were allowed to do anything so bird-brained all our public institutions would have long since been bankrupt. There is, unfortunately, never a shortage of dunderheads serving on elected boards that have a “hot tip” in the market and think it's a good idea to invest the city's reserves in it.

Second, this was an investment and the investors (even though those investors shouldn't have been investing) – that’s not just the elected officials but the citizens of those victimized communities are supposed to be given a prospectus with a full disclosure of the risks involved in the investment and a lot of other due diligence information. Does it sound like Peter DeQuattro ever disclosed the risks of Prairie State and coal-fired plants to any of these people?

Fashioning a rod for your own back
Someone from an environmental group pointed out the irony inherent in sucking these towns in as default 'bankers' for an industry that is no longer credit-worthy in the real world. Once the municipalities have been gulled –however ignorantly and illegally- into investing in these over-priced, high-risk coal plants it is simple for the coal power industry, in it's many guises, to turn them into mass lobbying shills for and are wound up and set off to lobby in full hysterical mass to oppose any state or federal legislation designed to promote alternative energy sources or reduction of coal emissions which would reduce the pollutants that are detrimental to their own health and welfare!

You’ve got to hand it to the King Coal boys. It’s not every industry that can get people who want both power and clean air to pay a premium user fee for the power and at the same time get them lobby for the privilege of choking to death on the smog belched out by the power plants which generate the outrageously priced kilowatts they're paying for to toast their muffins and dry their jockey shorts.